We ran 10,000 simulated drafts of a 10-team league for each of the five styles, using the exact random rule the game uses to decide the order. Then we counted how often each manager landed in each pick slot. If it's fair, every manager should get every pick about 10% of the time.
Fairness comes from symmetry: whoever ends up out (or across the line) each round is an even draw among everyone still in. The recorded video is the permanent record of exactly how your league's order was decided.
| Draft style | Every manager/pick landed at | Random-fit test |
|---|---|---|
| 1-on-1 Duels | 9.25% – 10.83% | ✅ pass (p=0.632) |
| 3 Flys Up | 9.32% – 10.66% | ✅ pass (p=0.268) |
| Dodgeball QB | 9.31% – 10.79% | ✅ pass (p=0.226) |
| The Gauntlet | 9.42% – 10.82% | ✅ pass (p=0.172) |
| 100 Yard Dash | 9.14% – 10.61% | ✅ pass (p=0.363) |
Ideal is 10% for every cell. The "random-fit test" is a chi-square goodness-of-fit check; a p-value above 0.05 means the results are statistically indistinguishable from perfect randomness. All five pass.
How often each manager (row) landed in each draft slot (column), across 10,000 drafts. A perfectly fair board is 10% in every square — and it is, give or take normal sampling noise.
| #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | #7 | #8 | #9 | #10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgr 1 | 10.0 | 10.6 | 10.2 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| Mgr 2 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 10.5 | 9.9 | 10.0 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 9.9 |
| Mgr 3 | 9.9 | 10.5 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 9.8 | 10.2 | 9.9 | 9.4 |
| Mgr 4 | 9.3 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.3 | 10.4 |
| Mgr 5 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 9.6 | 10.0 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 10.5 | 10.1 |
| Mgr 6 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 9.7 | 10.3 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 10.3 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 10.4 |
| Mgr 7 | 10.2 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 10.2 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 9.6 | 9.3 |
| Mgr 8 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.7 | 10.3 |
| Mgr 9 | 9.8 | 10.3 | 10.6 | 9.4 | 9.8 | 10.2 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| Mgr 10 | 10.1 | 9.5 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 9.6 | 10.0 | 10.6 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 10.3 |
We ran the same audit for 8-team, 10-team, 12-team, 14-team leagues. Same result: every manager, every pick, an equal shot. It doesn't matter what order you type the names in, or which style you pick.